Oguz Erkan

Oguz Erkan@oguzerkan

$META I don’t think the market fully grasp the case here: - It’ll be the biggest ad business in the world by the end of this year. - Frontier AI lab with the highest incremental compute coming online by 2028. - 250 million SMB customers to distribute AI products. All for 18x

tweeted Thu, Sep 3 · counted from Fri, Sep 4 close

Oguz Erkan@oguzerkan

This just doesn’t make sense.. $GOOG is up by 44% over the past year despite declining search volumes because it had a frontier AI lab. Today, $META is about to overtake $GOOG in ad revenue and has already leaped ahead of $GOOG in AI models. Yet, it’s still down 20% over the

tweeted Thu, Sep 3 · counted from Fri, Sep 4 close

Oguz Erkan@oguzerkan

$META bull thesis in a nutshell: It’s is projected to overtake Google in ad revenue this year. Search will be mostly AI, so advertisers will shift spending from $GOOG to $META. Thus, it’ll will also capture a higher share of incremental ad dollars. How can you be bearish?

tweeted Mon, Aug 31 · counted from Tue, Sep 1 close

Oguz Erkan@oguzerkan

Time to buy gold. Thesis is simple: More money supply, higher gold prices. They diverged earlier this year as markets expected a tighter policy under Kevin Warsh. But nothing has changed and global money supply kept growing, so gold prices have some serious catching up to do.

tweeted Sat, Aug 29 · counted from Mon, Aug 31 close

Oguz Erkan@oguzerkan

Charlie Munger: “Buy exceptional companies below their 200-week moving average and hold forever.” $MSFT closed below 200-week moving average in late March for the first time in 13 years. It’s up 35% since then and now just 7% away from all time high. Now it’s time to hold.

tweeted Fri, Aug 28 · counted from Mon, Aug 31 close

Oguz Erkan@oguzerkan

Agentic AI will drive substantial growth for $AMZN e-commerce. Data actually validates it. Online stores sales growth have accelerated every year since ChatGPT’s release in late 2022. People are buying products that they didn’t even know existed thanks to AI.

tweeted Fri, Aug 28 · counted from Mon, Aug 31 close

Oguz Erkan@oguzerkan

$META 12 analysts updated their ratings since the settlement in the addiction case was announced. 8 of them reiterated buy ratings. BMO Capital has the lowest price target at $580. Stock is currently even below that. Price will catch up with the improving sentiment.

tweeted Thu, Aug 27 · counted from Fri, Aug 28 close

Oguz Erkan@oguzerkan

$TSM is probably the best risk/reward profile in the whole semiconductor industry now. Major designers are expected to grow by, on average, 37% annually over the next three years. Meanwhile, $TSM 2027 P/E is just 18x and 2028 14x. Those chips won't manufacture themselves.

tweeted Thu, Aug 27 · counted from Fri, Aug 28 close