$1,000 follows their calls into $883
- Win rate
- 29%
- Streak
- —
- Best call
- No call read in the last 30 days
Track record building
- Peak #194
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- Longest streak 5
Basket now
15 positions · Oct 20- SKHY8%
$1,000 follows their calls into $883
Serenity@aleabitoreddit$GOOGL is now discussing deals to extend their memory LTAs through 2035 from KeyBanc channel checks. Samsung already has 70% of their capacity allocated through 2031, and this move would suggest a more durable cycle for $MU, $SKHY, and the others. They also expect HBM prices

Serenity@aleabitoredditYeah not sure how anyone thinks it's over on AI semis like $NVDA GPUs, memory, to photonics, after $SPCX earnings. - Previous Q4 capex outlook ~$18.4B... Now $35–40 billion Q4 capex guidance, basically doubling previous outlook "Q3 and Q4 capex should be similar to Q2's

Serenity@aleabitoredditFeels like the public interpretation is all wrong… I’m pretty sure $MSFT backing out on NScale deal is bullish for Neoclouds like $NBIS or even $IREN with energized capacity with Microsoft? Pretend Microsoft just ate a bunch of Chipotle burittos: - They order toilet paper
Serenity@aleabitoreddit$GOOGL Gemini 4 Argon benchmarks got released. Against GPT-6 Astra + Anthropic Fable 5.1 / Opus 5.5. Still coughing nonstop, so will comment on $MU / $JBL earnings later. I've always thought Google's internal models were stellar, but anecdotally, they seem to get hard nerfed

Serenity@aleabitoredditSure... Random train of thoughts on markets now, optics like $LITE / memory + $IREN / Anthropic. On Memory: - Demand visibility on $MU / Samsung / SK Hynix extend into 2030-2031. Samsung has LTAs covering 70% of their capacity into 2031 (likely with SK Hynix type price
Wolfex@Wolfex_YeatSerenity please give us some cope we are panicking out here with photonic stocks and memory 😭