$1,000 follows their calls into $916
- Win rate
- 19%
- Streak
- —
- Best call
- No call read in the last 30 days
- Active calls
- MU
Track record building
- Peak #250
- 7 ranked closes
- Longest streak 7
$1,000 follows their calls into $916
Matt Dratch@DratchCapFundamentals don't matter right now, but if we never check them, then we're just animals ;) So, what are memory market caps actually implying post the recent Korean BBQ? Take $skhy as one example, emblematic of the sector largely. 2027-28 cash flows are likely to be quite
Matt Dratch@DratchCapFolks shocked by this week’s hyperscaler ROI commentary could have just paid attention. It’s not rocket science 😉 June base case from below: GPU systems pay back in ~2.5-3 yrs on a decline curve, inside 30-yr shells. ~20% unlevered IRR. This week (AMZN + MSFT, the latest
Matt Dratch@DratchCapSeems like some confusion on the original post. I’m NOT saying every GB300 customer pays list forever. List is just an anchor to lay out the potentially fast payback math (especially given the publicized xAI deals) on initial higher priced deals AND so people can flex pricing,
Matt Dratch@DratchCapJim, you know the chef's kiss is an $appl long. Do the right thing.
Kalshi@KalshiJUST IN: Jim Cramer says investors should sell data center stocks "no matter what"
Matt Dratch@DratchCapGood point. Terminal multiples are more uncertain for everything… yet memory stocks at single digit FCF multiples get no love. By the time we figure out what’s what end of ’28, the buybacks will have bought down the create such that they’re cheap even on the old book value
DaRazor@akramsrazor$lite $mu Optics vs memory hard to ignore again. Like the entire dc complex is "sold out" till 20infinity right now but here we are with best in class lumentum probably trading 20x 2028 and maybe 25x 2029 fcf while mu is single digits. Now yea one grows rev multiples to get there
Matt Dratch@DratchCapReaction to $GOOGL says more about positioning than AI, imo. Into war acceleration, Warsh anxiety, and a monster EPS week, the market simply hit its limit for incremental risk. Worth noting IG hyper spreads moved with a major breakout in rates. No surprise the sector where