Bayesian Lad

Bayesian Lad@bayesian_lad

Updated my $CRWD model for the first time since December this weekend. TLDR: both my revenue and free cash flow estimates were raised. That being said, I view shares as nearly fully valued (1/9)

tweeted Mon, Aug 31 · counted from Tue, Sep 1 close

Bayesian Lad@bayesian_lad

This thesis is what kept me in $NTNX which I'm happy about. Sad I didn't add more (added more to $FTNT within software)

tweeted Thu, Aug 27 · counted from Fri, Aug 28 close

Bayesian Lad@bayesian_lad

Added some $WMT calls this AM, so high beta is probably gonna rip

tweeted Tue, Aug 25 · counted from Wed, Aug 26 close

Bayesian Lad@bayesian_lad

Added some $BBCP near the close today. Not the lowest price of the day at all, but I liked the price action. Earnings next month will be key, but I like infrastructure names, and concrete is important

tweeted Fri, Aug 21 · counted from Mon, Aug 24 close

Bayesian Lad@bayesian_lad

Added $VST $CEG and $NXT today. Charts are rough, but IMO these are attractive here. Also added some $SEDG October calls. Probably will get cooked. GLTA, and DYOR

tweeted Thu, Aug 20 · counted from Fri, Aug 21 close

Bayesian Lad@bayesian_lad

From a technical standpoint, if $TRMB can hold 57, 63 should be the next test

tweeted Wed, Aug 19 · counted from Thu, Aug 20 close

Bayesian Lad@bayesian_lad

Surprised $KE is getting punished after hours, but the ramp in the medical vertical does not seem to have picked up yet. GAAP results are solid, but a lot of it was caused by the disposal of an asset, so non-GAAP numbers look weaker. Hopefully conference call tmrw has more info

tweeted Wed, Aug 12 · counted from Thu, Aug 13 close

Bayesian Lad@bayesian_lad

$CDNL big drop after earnings. Rev crushed and rev guide is good, but guiding to adj EBITDA margins of 17% is likely what's causing the punishment. Added a little here and may add more after the call

tweeted Tue, Aug 11 · counted from Wed, Aug 12 close